An adequate characterization of internal modes of climate variability (MoV) is prerequisite for both accurate seasonal predictions and the attribution and detection of forced climate change in nature. Assessing the fidelity of climate models in simulating MoV is therefore essential; however, doing so is complicated by the large intrinsic variations in MoV and the limited span of the observational record. Large ensembles (LEs) provide a unique opportunity to assess model fidelity in simulating MoV and quantify inter-model contrasts. In this work, these goals are pursued in four recently produced LEs: the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) versions 1 and 2 LEs, and the Community Earth System Model (CESM) versions 1 and 2 LEs. In general, the representation of MoV is found to improve across successive E3SM and CESM versions concurrent with improved simulation of the base state climate. The patterns of global coupled modes and many extratropical modes are well simulated by both E3SM2 and CESM2, though various persistent shortcomings are identified. The results both demonstrate the successes of these recent model versions and suggest the potential for continued improvement in the representation of MoV with advances in model physics.
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